Tuesday, July 14, 2009

1918 pandemic flu virus may have circulated in pigs and humans prior to pandemic

Previous research on the 1918 pandemic virus has come to the conclusion that it may have jumped directly from birds to humans.

A new paper published in PNAS this week suggests a different path,

"Our results indicate that genetic components of the 1918 H1N1 pandemic virus circulated in mammalian hosts, i.e., swine and humans, as early as 1911 and was not likely to be a recently
introduced avian virus. Phylogenetic relationships suggest that the A/Brevig Mission/1/1918 virus (BM/1918) was generated by reassortment between mammalian viruses and a previously circulating human strain, either in swine or, possibly, in humans. Furthermore, seasonal and classic swine H1N1 viruses were not derived directly from BM/1918, but their precursors co-circulated during the pandemic. Mean estimates of the time of most recent common ancestor
also suggest that the H2N2 and H3N2 pandemic strains may have been generated through reassortment events in unknown mammalian hosts and involved multiple avian viruses preceding pandemic recognition. The possible generation of pandemic strains through a series of reassortment events in mammals over a period of years before pandemic recognition suggests that appropriate surveillance strategies for detection of precursor viruses may abort
future pandemics."

It's not an easy read, but worth trying:

http://www.pnas.org/content/early/2009/07/10/0904991106.full.pdf+html

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