Wednesday, March 26, 2008

Important new study in mapping the risk of avian influenza

A new study published in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences this week tells us more about high risk areas for H5N1 outbreaks in Vietnam and Thailand.

Interestingly, they found that duck "abundance", human population and rice cropping intensity were all associated with outbreaks. The numbers of chickens had a relatively low association. The model derived from Thailand was predictive of outbreaks in Vietnam, which is also surprising and good news. The model has some implications for Cambodia and Laos, but is probably not as applicable to Indonesia, where socio-ecological factors are very different.

For the full article:

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